2026 Midterms
2026 Midterms H-2B Elections HQ
Each highlighted district or state is a race we are following. If you click on the district / state, it will show you our preferred candidate and the Polymarket odds.
The most important race to the future of the H-2B program and specifically the Certified Seasonal Employer language is the Maine Senate race. Susan Collins is one of our strongest supporters in the Senate and is now, as Chair of the Appropriations Committee, in a position to help get the CSE language across the finish line. Collins has historically overperformed her polling numbers and we expect her to do so again in this race.
According to Polymarket odds, the Democrats are expected to take the House and Senate. This would mean that Senator Whitehouse (D-RI) will be the new Chairman of the Judiciary Committee. Whitehouse is an H-2B program supporter. This is good news as his predecessor, Senator Dick Durbin, was closely aligned with the labor unions.
Interactive map
Races we are following
Senate race
Maine · Senate
- Incumbent
- Susan Collins (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Susan Collins
- Polymarket odds
- Collins 40%
- As of October 2026
Odds as of October 2026, from Polymarket. Odds change frequently.
All races
Race list
| Incumbent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | Darline Graham (Republican) | Darline Graham | Graham 74% | |
| Senate | John Husted (Republican) | John Husted | Husted 33% | |
| Senate | Mike Rogers (Republican) | Mike Rogers | Rogers 33% | |
| Senate | Susan Collins (Republican) | Susan Collins | Collins 40% | |
| House | Robert Wittman (Republican) | Robert Wittman | Wittman 39% | |
| House | Henry Cuellar (Democrat) | Henry Cuellar | Cuellar 93% | |
| House | Open seat | Jenny Costa Honeycutt | Honeycutt 65% | |
| House | Nick LaLota (Republican) | Nick LaLota | LaLota 70% | |
| House | Jefferson Van Drew (Republican) | Jefferson Van Drew | Van Drew 71% | |
| House | Open seat | To be announced | To be announced | |
| House | David Rouzer (Republican) | David Rouzer | Rouzer 77% | |
| House | Anne Wagner (Republican) | Anne Wagner | Wagner 65% | |
| House | Bill Huizenga (Republican) | Bill Huizenga | Huizenga 45% | |
| House | Open seat | Paul LePage | LePage 57% | |
| House | Gabe Evans (Republican) | Gabe Evans | Evans 16% | |
| House | Lauren Boebert (Republican) | Eileen Laubacher | Laubacher 33% | |
| House | Eli Crane (Republican) | Jonathan Nez | Crane 69% |
Senate race
South Carolina · Senate
- Incumbent
- Darline Graham (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Darline Graham
- Polymarket odds
- Graham 74%
- As of October 2026
Senate race
Ohio · Senate
- Incumbent
- John Husted (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- John Husted
- Polymarket odds
- Husted 33%
- As of October 2026
Senate race
Michigan · Senate
- Incumbent
- Mike Rogers (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Mike Rogers
- Polymarket odds
- Rogers 33%
- As of October 2026
Senate race
Maine · Senate
- Incumbent
- Susan Collins (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Susan Collins
- Polymarket odds
- Collins 40%
- As of October 2026
House race
VA-1 · House
- Incumbent
- Robert Wittman (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Robert Wittman
- Polymarket odds
- Wittman 39%
- As of October 2026
House race
TX-28 · House
- Incumbent
- Henry Cuellar (Democrat)
- Preferred candidate
- Henry Cuellar
- Polymarket odds
- Cuellar 93%
- As of October 2026
House race
SC-1 · House
- Incumbent
- Open seat
- Preferred candidate
- Jenny Costa Honeycutt
- Polymarket odds
- Honeycutt 65%
- As of October 2026
House race
NY-1 · House
- Incumbent
- Nick LaLota (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Nick LaLota
- Polymarket odds
- LaLota 70%
- As of October 2026
House race
NJ-2 · House
- Incumbent
- Jefferson Van Drew (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Jefferson Van Drew
- Polymarket odds
- Van Drew 71%
- As of October 2026
House race
NC-11 · House
- Incumbent
- Open seat
- Preferred candidate
- To be announced
- Polymarket odds
- To be announced
House race
NC-7 · House
- Incumbent
- David Rouzer (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- David Rouzer
- Polymarket odds
- Rouzer 77%
- As of October 2026
House race
MO-2 · House
- Incumbent
- Anne Wagner (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Anne Wagner
- Polymarket odds
- Wagner 65%
- As of October 2026
House race
MI-4 · House
- Incumbent
- Bill Huizenga (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Bill Huizenga
- Polymarket odds
- Huizenga 45%
- As of October 2026
House race
ME-2 · House
- Incumbent
- Open seat
- Preferred candidate
- Paul LePage
- Polymarket odds
- LePage 57%
- As of October 2026
House race
CO-8 · House
- Incumbent
- Gabe Evans (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Gabe Evans
- Polymarket odds
- Evans 16%
- As of October 2026
House race
CO-4 · House
- Incumbent
- Lauren Boebert (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Eileen Laubacher
- Polymarket odds
- Laubacher 33%
- As of October 2026
House race
AZ-2 · House
- Incumbent
- Eli Crane (Republican)
- Preferred candidate
- Jonathan Nez
- Polymarket odds
- Crane 69%
- As of October 2026